SEC Preview: Week 10
One game clearly dominates the consciousness of fans deeply interested in the sriracha-slathered chicken vindaloo that is the Southeastern Conference. And no, I’m not talking about the fascination with whether it will be Carlos Dunlap or Jermaine Cunningham who will tear the first limb from Mackenzi Adams’s body in Hogtown today.
No, of course I’m talking about the epic LSU at Alabama clash in Tuscaloosa. Amazingly, despite their recent offensive woes, Bama is favored by 11 as of this morning. That seems very high to me: I’d be happy to go offshore and bet on LSU to cover, but I’m not confident enough to say they’ll win (sorry, Ricky!). I’m thinking this game will see a number of field goal attempts and a fair amount of punts, and as I averred in my picks, the team that wins will make at least one game-turning play on defense. Julio Jones has barely touched the ball lately (hmm, wishing maybe you’d chosen the Gators now, Julio?), and the Tide needs to stretch the field a little to beat LSU. What’s that you say? Florida ground out a safe win against the Tigers by running it? True, but UF ran it with the QB and three RBs coming out of various sets, with emphasis on misdirection and option stuff. The Tide doesn’t do much of that: they’re Ingram left, Ingram right, and Ingram up the middle. That seems to me to play to the Tigers’ strengths in the front seven. This game will be close by Mount Cody or somebody will make a play to win for Bama.
The Gators will keep up their recent offensive awakening against Vanderbilt. The story line for the Gates is coming clear: early struggle, an injury to their messianic leader, controversy over various small sins (like eye poking), but eventual redemption with love (Urban for Timmy, Timmy for Brandon, Brandon for Stamper, etc.) conquers all. The melodrama that has been the 09 Gators will culminate in Atlanta after they score 30+ in every game in November.
South Carolina and Arkansas have pivotal games against each other, but the greater pressure is certainly on Arkansas at home. The Pigs are 3-5, with a game at LSU left; if we count that as a loss, that means they have to win every other game on the slate to get bowl eligible. The toughest of those three is today (the others are home games against Troy and Miss State). Arkansas’s offense is clearly far better than SC’s, but the reverse is true on defense. And Stephen Garcia has been yo-yo-like in his inconsistency. Though I’ll be rooting for the ‘Cocks (I will always love the SpurDog above all coaches–he is my master and role model), I think Arkansas will put up too many points to lose.
The rest of the slate is directional and non-conference foes for everyone else. Just one thing: watch for Tennessee to struggle, at least for the first half, with Memphis, who has played them tight the last few years. But of course Hello Kiffy will come through.